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Brussels Governance Monitor

This content is archived. The Brussels-Capital Region formed a government on 12 February 2026 (classical 7-party coalition). These scenarios are preserved for the record.

How can this be resolved?

Realistic, documented, and sourced exit paths

Delayed classical coalition

High feasibility

Mechanism

The Brussels political parties eventually reach a coalition agreement on a comprehensive government programme. A formateur appointed by Parliament negotiates the ministerial portfolios and policy content.

Timeline

A few months

Who can trigger this

The Brussels political parties represented in Parliament

Precedent

Federal Belgium: after 541 days without a government, formation of the Di Rupo government (2010-2011). Then 494 days before the De Croo government (2019-2020). (Belgium, 2011)

Risks

  • Prolonged negotiations with no guarantee of a result
  • A watered-down compromise that fails to address the accumulated emergencies
  • Voter fatigue in the face of a scenario already seen at the federal level
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Constructive motion of no confidence

Very low feasibility

Mechanism

Parliament tables a constructive motion of no confidence against the caretaker government, accompanied by a candidate for minister-president and a programme

Timeline

Immediate

Who can trigger this

An absolute majority of parliamentarians in each of the two linguistic groups of the Brussels Parliament

Risks

  • A majority is required simultaneously in BOTH linguistic groups — extremely difficult to assemble
  • Never used at the level of the Brussels-Capital Region
  • The caretaker government is not technically 'in office' in the full sense, creating a legal ambiguity
  • Risk of institutional crisis if the motion's admissibility is challenged
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Emergency government with a limited mandate

Medium feasibility

Mechanism

The parties agree on a short government programme limited to emergencies: passing the budget, absorbing European funds, and unblocking critical pending matters. No comprehensive coalition agreement.

Timeline

A few weeks

Who can trigger this

The Brussels political parties, under pressure from social and economic stakeholders

Risks

  • No formal precedent in Belgium — possible political resistance
  • Risk that the 'temporary' becomes permanent without resolving underlying disagreements
  • Questionable legitimacy if the mandate is too limited for effective action
  • Opposition parties may refuse to participate
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Minority government

Low feasibility

Mechanism

A government formed without an absolute majority, operating on a case-by-case basis with shifting majorities depending on the issue

Timeline

A few weeks

Who can trigger this

Parties willing to govern without a guaranteed majority, with the tacit agreement of the opposition not to table a motion of no confidence

Precedent

Denmark, Sweden, Norway (common in Scandinavia), Canada. Never done in Belgium. (Denmark, 2022)

Risks

  • Permanent instability — the government can be toppled at any time
  • Total dependence on the goodwill of the opposition for each vote
  • Every issue becomes a separate negotiation, considerably slowing public action
  • Increased complexity in Brussels due to the dual linguistic majority
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Early regional elections

Near impossible

Mechanism

The federal Chamber of Representatives votes by a two-thirds majority to dissolve the Brussels Parliament and organise new regional elections. The King then sets the date of the ballot.

Timeline

Several years

Who can trigger this

The Chamber of Representatives (federal Parliament) — two-thirds majority required

Risks

  • The Brussels Parliament cannot dissolve itself — it has a fixed 5-year term
  • Requires a two-thirds majority in the federal Chamber — a nearly impossible threshold to reach
  • New elections would probably produce similar results without resolving the deadlock
  • No precedent in Belgian history for the dissolution of a regional parliament
  • Federal interference in regional affairs — perceived as an infringement on autonomy
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Technocratic government

Near impossible

Mechanism

A government composed of non-partisan experts, appointed to manage the Region's affairs outside the logic of classical coalition politics

Timeline

A few weeks

Who can trigger this

Consensus among parties represented in the Brussels Parliament to temporarily relinquish executive power

Precedent

Italy (Monti 2011, Draghi 2021), never in Belgium (Italy, 2021)

Risks

  • No direct democratic legitimacy — ministers do not carry a partisan electoral mandate
  • Foreseeable resistance from political parties, who would lose control of the executive
  • No Belgian precedent at any level of government
  • Brussels ministers must be parliamentarians — an external expert cannot be appointed directly
  • Limited lifespan without a lasting political anchor
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