The 19 Brussels CPASs: three authorities, one operator, three simultaneous shocks
The institution in brief
The 19 Brussels CPASs are the public operators of last resort in social assistance, subject to three authorities with no native coordination (federal, Cocom, municipalities).
A CPAS (public centre for social welfare) is the public operator of last resort in matters of social assistance. Its mission, set by the federal organic law of 8 July 1976, is to guarantee every person the right to lead a life in keeping with human dignity. In Brussels, nineteen CPASs coexist, one per municipality, legally distinct but all under the supervision of the Common Community Commission (Cocom).
Federal
FPS Social Integration
- Organic CPAS law of 8 July 1976
- DIS law of 26 May 2002 (social integration income)
- Subsidies: RIS, art. 60 §7, PAS (until 2025), MediPrima
- Social integration framework
COCOM
United College · Vivalis · Iriscare
- Organic oversight over Brussels CPAS
- Vivalis: COCOM administration
- Iriscare: public-interest body created in 2017 (health / personal assistance)
Region + Communes
Brussels Local Authorities · 19 communes
- Triennial plan and general municipal endowment (DGC)
- Regional co-financing (variable)
- Communes: operational management and final financing
19 Brussels CPAS · COCOM oversight · communal management · federal funding
This architecture is the Brussels-specific dimension of this dossier. The federal level defines the framework (organic law 1976, DIS law of 26 May 2002 on integration income) and finances the majority of individual assistance (RIS reimbursed proportionally, targeted subsidies, MediPrima). The Cocom exercises organic supervision via the Joint College, its Vivalis administration and the public interest body Iriscare. The Region and the municipalities complete this: triennial plan and general municipal grant (DGC), variable co-financing, and ultimately a deficit covered by the municipality to which the CPAS belongs. Three authorities, one operator, no native coordination.
This architecture explains the current friction. When the federal level withdraws a subsidy, the CPAS is the one that registers it and the municipality that pays. When the Cocom acts as supervisory authority, it has no equivalent financial lever. When the Region partially compensates, it does so via the DGC, without earmarking for the CPAS. The shocks documented below strike all three of these levels simultaneously.
The 1976 organic law defines the ordinary missions of the CPASs: RIS (integration income, a minimum income floor for persons without resources), urgent medical assistance (AMU, essential care for persons in an irregular residence situation or without open entitlements), employment placement via article 60 §7 (subsidised reintegration employment contract), specific assistance (medical cards, RIS equivalent for foreigners, debt mediation), and general social support.
Consolidated regional figures (to be confirmed): approximately 46,000 monthly RIS recipients in 2024 (3.7% of the regional population, compared with 0.59% in Flanders and 1.98% in Wallonia according to indicators.be); approximately 6,500 agents in full-time equivalents across the 19 CPASs, with components consolidated by Brussels Local Powers in its Focus #14 (situation as of 30 June 2023, published in February 2025), showing an upward trajectory (Brussels-City alone increased from 1,595 FTEs in 2018 to 1,690 in 2023); cumulative budget estimated between 1.5 and 2 billion euros by extrapolation from Brussels-City (461.6 M€ in 2025, representing approximately one quarter of the regional total). The precise consolidated accounts are held in XLSX annexes from IBSA and Brussels Local Powers that this dossier has not yet retrieved as direct sources.
Note: monthly stock (approximately 46,000) and annual flow (all persons having received RIS for at least one month during the year; IBSA recorded 52,502 Brussels residents in 2018, a figure to be updated) are two distinct measures. When a public body speaks of «beneficiaries», the relevant measure must always be specified.
The Brussels social ecosystem around the CPAS
The three authorities in the component above (federal, Cocom, municipalities) are those that act on the CPAS: they fund it, supervise it, and manage it. But the front-line operator does not work in isolation: it is embedded in a Brussels social ecosystem where other public and civil society actors provide services alongside the CPAS, sometimes for the same populations. This dossier follows the CPAS institution, but it is useful to briefly introduce the actors with which it shares the field.
The Cocof (French Community Commission) has no supervisory authority over CPASs, but exercises transferred competences in the areas of social assistance, support for persons with disabilities, integration of immigrants and social cohesion. It operates in particular ten Francophone Social Action Centres (CASGs), civil society providers funded by the Cocof, which support populations that often overlap with those of the CPASs without being an extension of them. When a CPAS manages a complex case, the nearest CASG may be a care partner; conversely, an overloaded CASG refers its cases to the municipal CPAS.
The Cocom is not limited to organic supervision of the CPASs: it subsidises and coordinates, via Vivalis and Iriscare, more than three hundred bilingual institutions across Brussels, including the public hospitals of the IRIS network, nursing homes, mental health services, sheltered housing initiatives and reception centres. On medical assistance in particular, the CPAS/IRIS public hospital pairing is a permanent partnership: MediPrima billing and the AMU system for persons in an irregular residence situation channel a large number of cases each year between CPAS counters and hospital emergency services.
The civil society sector (not public, but often licensed and subsidised) completes the chain. Samusocial handles the operational coordination of social emergencies and housing in Brussels, working directly with CPASs for homeless persons. Diogenes works on the front line with homeless persons, accompanying them in person to CPASs and care services. Médimmigrant is the reference centre on AMU, supporting CPASs, hospitals and social workers confronted with complex irregular residence cases. These three operators are institutional sources regularly cited by the CPASs themselves and appear in the frontmatter of this dossier.
Shock 1: Chronic under-funding, predating the recent shocks
The Brussels CPASs have been absorbing federal cost transfers without equivalent compensation for several years; Brulocalis puts the deficit at 1.718 billion over 2025-2029.
The Brussels CPASs are not going through a new crisis. They are going through a crisis long documented, which is worsening under two recent federal decisions. This section sets the context without which the following sections would be unreadable.
The 2024-2029 memorandum on the financing of local authorities published by Brussels Local Powers raises the structural question: municipalities and Brussels CPASs have been absorbing cost transfers without equivalent compensation for several years. On 11 March 2026, Brulocalis, the Conference of Brussels Mayors and the Federation of Brussels CPASs published a refined study quantifying this deficit: 1.718 billion euros over 2025-2029, i.e. more than 340 million per year. The announced federal compensation would cover only 26.7% of this need, leaving municipalities, CPASs and police zones to find 1.258 billion euros on their own.
Brulocalis underlines that the impact of these federal decisions weighs more heavily on Brussels than in other regions, for three cumulative reasons: a specific social fabric (concentration of precarity, youth, immigrant-origin populations), a capital city role at the regional, national, European and international levels that multiplies missions without corresponding financial transfers, and greater regional support for the financing of Flemish municipalities by their Region. This inter-regional imbalance is a recurring structural argument in Brussels advocacy.
On the ground, CPAS presidents have been speaking since 2025 of an institution «beyond its limits». Elected in April 2025 as president of the Federation of Brussels CPASs (an entity hosted by Brulocalis), the president of the Federation, who also serves as president of the Evere CPAS, has been driving this communication and has repeatedly stated that «by the end of the year, it is impossible to find the staff for the CPASs». The tone is not militant: it is institutional and measured. But it is unusually direct.
The study attributes these costs to four main sources:
- Pensions of local civil servants: despite the federal level moving to 30% funding of the second pillar (compared with 10% previously), major uncertainties persist regarding the structural funding of pensions for statutory staff. The inverted age pyramid among statutory staff (see the «Personnel» section) amplifies this pressure.
- Under-funding of police zones: the imposed merger of Brussels police zones is proceeding without a demonstrated case for expected economies of scale, and measures to improve the attractiveness of policing generate additional municipal costs. The promise to revise the «KUL standard» (the federal distribution key for police zone funding) has not materialised.
- Federal unemployment reform: covered in Shock 3 below.
- Federal tax reform: applied from 2029, it would deprive municipalities of 17 million euros in annual revenue.
- Absence of cadastral updating by the federal level: deprives municipalities of 130 to 180 million euros in annual cadastral revenue.
The calculation of the announced compensation for the unemployment reform is moreover explicitly challenged by the Court of Auditors in its 2026 report on the draft budget, reinforcing the finding that the figures put forward by the government are underestimated.
Brulocalis also flags several other expected transfers, distinct from the unemployment reform: the abolition of the Social Activation Fund (= PAS subsidy, see Shock 2 below), the abolition of the Grand Froid plan, and flagged uncertainties on Housing First (federal housing-first policy for homeless persons) and MIRIAM (a programme supporting single mothers via CPASs). At this stage, neither Housing First nor MIRIAM has been formally abolished by a legislative or regulatory text: the uncertainty stems from ongoing budgetary arbitration.
In autumn 2025, Brulocalis had already published a press release warning of «imminent catastrophe» if the absence of compensation persisted. This press release remains partially opaque from the monitor's side: anti-bot protections on the website prevent retrieval of the full verbatim text at the time of drafting. The question therefore remains open as to whether the «October 2025 ultimatum» mentioned by some relays specifically targeted the 26 million federal 2025 euros (disbursed since 21 January 2026, see Shock 3) or a distinct Cocom grant. This imprecision is documented in the open questions at the end of this dossier.
Shock 2: The withdrawal of the PAS subsidy and the Council of State proceedings
The federal level abolished the PAS subsidy (15.5 M€/year) on 1 January 2026; several Brussels CPASs filed an annulment application before the Council of State.
The PAS subsidy (Participation et Activation Sociale, Social Participation and Activation) was created by the federal level in 2003. It funds, at approximately 15.5 million euros per year nationally, projects carried by CPASs along two lines: social participation and activation on the one hand, and the fight against child poverty on the other. In practice: socialisation workshops, coverage of cultural and sports activities, specific support for families in precarious situations.
The timeline of its abolition is documented. For 2024, the royal decree of 21 March 2024 had committed 15.5 million euros for the subsidy. For 2025, the federal budget reduced the envelope to approximately 11.8 million euros (a cut of approximately 30%). From 1 January 2026, the subsidy was abolished entirely. The local press reported the decision (RTBF, BX1, 21news, Guide Social) as a «major and brutal social regression» according to the Brussels CPASs.
The Brussels CPASs radically dispute the federal justification. In their view, the special laws governing the distribution of powers clearly place general social welfare and the integration income framework via CPASs within federal competence. Several Brussels CPASs filed an annulment application before the Council of State at the end of 2025. The proceedings were ongoing at the time of drafting, with no public hearing date.
The context for this abolition is broader: in autumn 2025, the federal level had also abolished the subsidies for the Grand Froid plan, another federal arrangement channelled through CPASs and adjacent actors (notably Samusocial). For front-line operators, these decisions form a series of cuts rather than an isolated adjustment.
The federal justification rests on a competence distribution argument. During the session of 5 November 2025 at the Federal Chamber (56th legislature, intervention 04.04), the federal Minister for Social Integration responded to a parliamentary question by stating:
« L'Inspection des finances a spécifiquement qualifié la subvention PAS de subvention à caractère usurpateur. [Cette appréciation] repose sur les critères de compétences utilisés par la Cour constitutionnelle et le Conseil d'État. En réalité, 15,5 millions d'euros ont été engagés en 2024 pour le financement de la subvention PAS, comme confirmé par l'arrêté royal du 21 mars 2024. À partir de 2026, je ne prolongerai plus cette subvention. »
Two points of clarification are needed here. First, the Finance Inspectorate's opinion has not been published directly: it is reported by the minister, who summarises its content. The monitor therefore relays the stated grounds without being able to consult them at source. Second, the qualifier «usurpateur» («usurping») refers to a technical notion of federal-federated competence distribution, not a moral judgement.
Shock 3: The federal unemployment reform: forced absorption
The federal unemployment reform that entered into force on 1 January 2026 channels 35,799 excluded Brussels residents toward CPASs in four waves, with federal compensation disputed between 234 M€ and 300 M€.
The federal unemployment reform, carried by the «Arizona» government, entered into force on 1 January 2026. It limits the duration of unemployment benefits to one or two years depending on individual profiles. The legal basis was built in two stages: the programme law of 18 July 2025 (main framework), then the law of 17 November 2025 on compensation paid to CPASs, whose royal decree of 7 January 2026 set the entry into force at 1 January 2026 (published in the Belgian Official Gazette on 19 January 2026; with an exception for article 5, 1° on the PIIS subsidy, whose modifications apply only from 1 January 2028). For profiles distant from the labour market, the end of benefits leads to an automatic transfer to the RIS, and therefore to the CPAS of the municipality of residence.
The exclusion timetable in Brussels
The federal government phased the exclusions in several waves. For 2026, ONEM transmitted to Brulocalis (Federation of Brussels CPASs) the following timetable for the Brussels Region:
| Phase | Effective date | Target population | Brussels residents excluded | Share of 2026 total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 January 2026 | Over 20 years of unemployment | 5,101 | 20.1% |
| 2 | 1 March 2026 | Between 8 and 20 years | 12,399 | 29.3% |
| 3 | 1 April 2026 | Between 2 and 8 years | 11,806 | 26.1% |
| 4 | 1 July 2026 | Two years | 6,493 | 23.1% |
| 2026 total | 35,799 | 100% |
A further wave will be added on 1 July 2027, bringing the total ONEM projection to 40,775 persons (the 35,799 of 2026 representing 88% of the total). These figures replace in this dossier the vaguer range («between 32,000 and 42,000») that the press had projected in summer 2025 based on estimates prior to the finalisation of the law.
First observed actual CPAS take-up rate: 28.1% in Brussels. On 23 June 2026, during the Chamber's Social Affairs Committee, the federal minister of employment cited provisional statistics from SPP Social Integration: across the first three waves, 28.1% of excluded persons actually approached a CPAS in Brussels, compared with 30.4% at national level, 22.5% in Flanders and 36% in Wallonia. The figure is provisional and captures neither pending cases nor non-take-up. According to the press, the rate would reach approximately sixty-five percent in Molenbeek; the national record of over ninety percent concerns Seraing, in Wallonia, not a Brussels municipality. Ahead of the notification wave of 1 July 2026, CPAS federations are calling for a moratorium of at least six months, one-hundred-percent RIS reimbursement for new cases and an extension of the PIIS from three to nine months. Confidence: official (SPP Social Integration statistics); Molenbeek municipal rate attributed to the press (unconfirmed).
An additional layer entered into force on 1 March 2026: a legislative change requiring CPASs to take into account the income of certain cohabitants (partner, adult children, ascendants) when calculating the RIS. In the absence of a known income, a monthly flat rate of 240 € applies. The Schaerbeek CPAS, like other Brussels CPASs, introduced weekly dedicated sessions for unemployment exclusion cases to absorb the influx and explain the new framework.
The announced compensation: two official figures in tension
The federal government and the Court of Auditors do not agree on the real cost of the reform for CPASs. The Court of Auditors, in its 2026 report on the draft budget, explicitly challenged the federal compensation calculation, finding the envelope to be underestimated. The compensation decision taken by the government on 19 September 2025 and the law of 17 November 2025 provide, at the national level:
- Federal RIS reimbursement (standard scheme)ongoing
SPP IS -> CPAS
100% in 2026, 90% in 2027, 80% in 2028, 75% from 2029 onwards
+15% additional for applications opened from 1 July 2026
- PAS subsidyremoved
SPP IS -> CPAS
approximately 15.5 M€/year (national, until 2024) -- 11.8 M€ in 2025 -- 0 € from 2026
Annulment proceedings pending before the Council of State
- Unemployment reform compensation (Brulocalis / Court of Auditors estimate)announced
SPP IS -> CPAS
300 M€ (2026 and 2027) -> 342 M€ in 2029; cumulative approximately 631 M€; projected real impact approximately 1 billion €
- Unemployment reform compensation (SPP IS / government estimate)announced
SPP IS -> CPAS
234 M€ (national, high return-to-employment assumption)
- Federal compensation 2025 (advance payment)ongoing
SPP IS -> CPAS
26 M€ (national)
Disbursed on 21 January 2026 (royal decree of 18/01/2026, Belgian Official Gazette of 26/01/2026, communication '26M/reference number')
- Staff cost allocation -- first waveongoing
SPP IS -> CPAS
1,036 € per case (2026-2028)
Law of 17/11/2025; only for those excluded in phases 1, 2 and 3 (1/1, 1/3, 1/4 of 2026)
- PIIS bonusannounced
SPP IS -> CPAS
1,776 €/case for sustained exits (at least 1 year of employment)
Bonus-malus mechanism from 1 January 2028 (article 5, 1° of the law of 17/11/2025) -- according to Brulocalis, may bring the RIS reimbursement rate above 100% for first-wave exclusions in large cities when the PIIS percentage is high
- Cocom grantstructural
Cocom -> Brussels CPASs
Specific envelope (amount to be confirmed)
- Regional co-financing via DGCongoing
Brussels Capital Region -> municipalities -> CPAS
Variable
- Final municipal contribution (deficit coverage)structural
Municipality -> CPAS
Variable
| Source | Channel | Amount | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
Federal RIS reimbursement (standard scheme) +15% additional for applications opened from 1 July 2026 | SPP IS -> CPAS | 100% in 2026, 90% in 2027, 80% in 2028, 75% from 2029 onwards | ongoing |
PAS subsidy Annulment proceedings pending before the Council of State | SPP IS -> CPAS | approximately 15.5 M€/year (national, until 2024) -- 11.8 M€ in 2025 -- 0 € from 2026 | removed |
Unemployment reform compensation (Brulocalis / Court of Auditors estimate) | SPP IS -> CPAS | 300 M€ (2026 and 2027) -> 342 M€ in 2029; cumulative approximately 631 M€; projected real impact approximately 1 billion € | announced |
Unemployment reform compensation (SPP IS / government estimate) | SPP IS -> CPAS | 234 M€ (national, high return-to-employment assumption) | announced |
Federal compensation 2025 (advance payment) Disbursed on 21 January 2026 (royal decree of 18/01/2026, Belgian Official Gazette of 26/01/2026, communication '26M/reference number') | SPP IS -> CPAS | 26 M€ (national) | ongoing |
Staff cost allocation -- first wave Law of 17/11/2025; only for those excluded in phases 1, 2 and 3 (1/1, 1/3, 1/4 of 2026) | SPP IS -> CPAS | 1,036 € per case (2026-2028) | ongoing |
PIIS bonus Bonus-malus mechanism from 1 January 2028 (article 5, 1° of the law of 17/11/2025) -- according to Brulocalis, may bring the RIS reimbursement rate above 100% for first-wave exclusions in large cities when the PIIS percentage is high | SPP IS -> CPAS | 1,776 €/case for sustained exits (at least 1 year of employment) | announced |
Cocom grant | Cocom -> Brussels CPASs | Specific envelope (amount to be confirmed) | structural |
Regional co-financing via DGC | Brussels Capital Region -> municipalities -> CPAS | Variable | ongoing |
Final municipal contribution (deficit coverage) | Municipality -> CPAS | Variable | structural |
The gap between 234 M€ (government) and The federal compensation for the unemployment reform is estimated at 300 M€ (Court of Auditors / UVCW) versus 234 M€ in the government decision: a 22% gap not publicly reconciled.
The actual disbursement of the 26 million advance payment for 2025 took place on 21 January 2026 (royal decree of 18 January, published in the Belgian Official Gazette on 26 January). This compensation, voted in the Chamber Finance Committee on 10 December 2025, is intended to cover part of the increased workload linked to the arrival of new beneficiaries.
For the detailed mechanics of the ONEM-to-RIS transfer and the cascading effect on BIM status, see the BIM dossier.
The Brulocalis projection for Brussels: approximately 146 M€/year in new costs
The Federation of Brussels CPASs (Brulocalis) published in issue 144 of Trait d'Union (July-August-September 2025) a quantified projection of the annual financial impact of the reform on the Region. The methodology is explicit and reproducible:
- 24,465 excluded persons to be supported by Brussels CPASs (medium scenario deemed «most realistic» by Brulocalis, more conservative than the total ONEM projection)
- x 1,322 € average monthly RIS (February 2025 indexation)
- x 12 months x 30% share borne by local authorities (the balance is reimbursed by the federal level, but at a variable and phased rate)
- = 116.4 M€/year for RIS net of federal compensation alone
-
- 306 additional social workers (1 FTE per 80 cases) x 60,000 €/year = 18.4 M€/year
-
- 245 administrative and reception profiles (1 FTE per 100 cases) x 45,000 €/year = 11.0 M€/year
Total Brulocalis projection: approximately 146 million euros per year absorbed by Brussels CPASs at full operating speed, solely for the operational implementation of the reform. The projection specifies that it covers only the unreimbursed RIS share and that only part of the personnel cost is included: the real cost could therefore be higher.
The operational response: 2,000 posts to fill, including 550 in Brussels
To absorb this influx, CPASs need to recruit at pace. According to Guide Social (article of 27 January 2026), approximately 2,000 posts need to be filled nationally, including 550 in Brussels, a figure consistent with the Brulocalis projection (306 social workers + 245 administrative staff = 551). Brussels-City CPAS alone announces a dedicated effort: 500,000 € of budget to strengthen social worker teams, 800 article 60 §7 activations in 2026, three new local offices, 3,550 new beneficiaries expected and 6,000 persons supported over the year (sources: Brussels-City CPAS; budget 2025 presentation to the municipal council). Wallonia and Flanders announce comparable proportional efforts.
The timeline is short and the social work labour market is already tight: social workers are among the critical occupations in the Brussels Region.
Legal proceedings: two fronts pending before the Constitutional Court
Two distinct proceedings are challenging the unemployment reform before the Constitutional Court.
On one side, in summer 2025, the CPASs of Saint-Gilles, Forest, Mons and Andenne joined a municipal challenge against the programme law of 18 July 2025. On the other, on 29 October 2025, a coalition of fourteen ASBLs (including the Belgisch Netwerk Armoedebestrijding/BAPN, the Ligue des familles, the Ligue des droits humains, Soralia, Vie féminine), four unincorporated associations and nine unemployed individuals, backed by the joint trade union front (CSC, FGTB, CGSLB), filed an annulment application together with a suspension request.
The Constitutional Court ruled on the suspension request in its ruling no. 11/2026 of 15 January 2026: the suspension was rejected, on the grounds that the applicants had not demonstrated the existence of a «risk of serious harm that is difficult to repair» sufficient to suspend the immediate application of the law. The articles challenged are essentially articles 142 (insertion allowance reduced from 36 to 12 months), 169 (duration of unemployment benefits) and 207, 209, 212 and 216 (transitional provisions). The ruling does not prejudge the merits: the annulment proceedings remain pending on both sides and no hearing date has been set for the annulment proceedings on the merits. A more thorough analysis could lead to a partial or total annulment.
On 30 June 2025, during a debate organised by CSC Brussels, the presidents of the CPASs of Saint-Gilles, Forest and Brussels-City presented their analyses publicly. The positions are divergent: the presidents of Saint-Gilles and Forest denounced the measure as «unjust, ineffective and unmanageable», while the president of Brussels-City CPAS supported the activation objective while calling for strengthened support. However, all three agreed on the operational finding: the Brussels CPASs are absorbing a shock whose execution the federal level delegated to them without controlling the timing.
The personnel: The dam is cracking
The 19 Brussels CPASs (approximately 6,500 FTEs, 81% contract staff) face a shortage of social workers against a need for 550 new posts in 2026.
The consolidated headcount of the 19 Brussels CPASs is approximately 6,500 FTEs, an order of magnitude comparable to that of the STIB or a large regional hospital.
Several trade union notes have documented since late 2024 a workload that has become unsustainable. The CGSP-ALR published in December 2024 a note alerting on the beneficiary-to-social-worker ratio and the deterioration of reception conditions. The FGTB Brussels published in April 2025 an analysis on structural under-funding and turnover. CSC Brussels held a debate with CPAS presidents on 30 June 2025 and organised a march against the «Arizona» reform on 28 April 2025.
Public attention on staff safety crystallised around an incident at Anderlecht on 25 March 2026 (a serious incident at a Brussels CPAS, already documented in the social domain card). The trade union federations and the Federation of Brussels CPASs have since then been calling for structural support and protection arrangements.
Added to this is a structural difficulty: the social worker function is in short supply in the Brussels Region. Recruiting 300 new social workers in Brussels by end 2026, when initial training produces a limited number of qualified profiles per year, requires either revising recruitment criteria (which several CPASs are considering, valuing transferable competences rather than strictly disciplinary training) or broadening entry pathways (mentoring, intensive internal training). Neither of these options is operationally neutral.
The most recent data consolidated by Brussels Local Powers (Focus #14, situation as of 30 June 2023) confirms several structural features:
- 81% of CPAS agents are contract staff (compared with 64% in municipalities), which makes CPAS administrations particularly dependent on social work labour markets to reconstitute their teams
- 17% of CPAS agents hold contracts under a subsidy framework (vs 11% in municipalities), meaning high exposure to federal and regional decisions on funding envelopes (article 60 §7, ACS, etc.)
- More than a third of CPAS agents are at qualification level B, mainly social workers and nurses: occupations at the core of the mission, therefore in direct competition with the 2026 recruitments described in Shock 3
- 70% of agents are women (vs 55% in municipalities)
- 62% of agents reside in the Brussels Region (vs 67% in municipalities), with a higher share of Brussels residents among contract staff than among statutory staff
- Personnel expenditure is the second-largest item in CPAS current spending, just behind the disbursement of social assistance: any pressure on the personnel envelope is immediately felt in support capacity.
To this picture must be added an inverted age pyramid among statutory staff: they are on average older than contract staff and their demographic profile creates a funding risk for the local staff pension system. Brussels Local Powers describes this as «an important problem for the financing of the pension system for permanent local authority staff»: a structural risk running in parallel with the unemployment question (see Shock 1 on pensions).
First redundancies (June 2026): the municipality of Molenbeek-Saint-Jean is considering, in its budgetary recovery plan, eliminating 40 posts including 20 at the CPAS, while, according to its president, the number of persons supported there has risen from 7,300 to 8,500 since the unemployment reform and the municipal grant (43.7 M€) remains below the estimated need (51.5 M€). The 13 newly recruited social workers are spared; the digital divide service will be «drastically reduced». This is the first concrete materialisation, at the scale of one Brussels CPAS, of the tension described in this section: the dam is cracking not only through overload, but through employment itself. Source: BX1 (12 June 2026), statements by the CPAS president. Confidence level: unconfirmed.
Indefinite strike notice (16 June 2026): the joint trade-union front (the three unions) filed an indefinite strike notice on 16 June at the Molenbeek CPAS against the savings measures, contesting a half-reduction of the end-of-year bonus, the removal of around forty posts and the workload placed on remaining staff, which they link to "chronic underfunding" at regional and federal level. A demonstration was planned for Wednesday at 5:30 pm outside the town hall. This is the first open social conflict in a Brussels CPAS linked to the post-reform savings plans. Source: BRUZZ Politiek (16 June 2026). Confidence level: unconfirmed.
Municipal diversity: The gradient of nineteen realities
The gaps between Brussels CPASs are considerable: Koekelberg = 88 FTEs, Brussels-City = 1,690 FTEs; Brussels-City serves as the reference case but is not representative.
Speaking of the «Brussels CPASs» in the plural is not sufficient: between municipalities, the gap is considerable. The smallest CPAS, Koekelberg, has 88 FTEs. The largest, Brussels-City, has 1,690. This asymmetry in headcount reflects asymmetries in demand (density of precarious populations) and asymmetries in fiscal capacity (municipal tax base).
Brussels-City serves here as the reference case precisely because the municipality communicates extensively. Budget 2025 balanced at 461.6 million euros (for the CPAS alone), with a City grant of 105 million euros (up 3.5% on 2024) and 53 million euros of investment. A reinforcement plan announced in January 2026: 500,000 € additional for social worker teams, 800 article 60 §7 activations, three new local offices, 3,550 new beneficiaries expected, 6,000 persons supported over the year.
The new municipal majority following the October 2024 elections, with the CPAS under its new president since February 2025, simultaneously imposed 25 million euros of savings on the 2025 CPAS budget, notably via a sharing of cross-cutting functions between the City and the CPAS (logistics, IT). These savings form part of a broader 100 million effort at City level (sources: RTBF 5 December 2025; L'Avenir 5 December 2025). It is the most visible CPAS, but not the most representative.
More exposed to the structural shock: Anderlecht, Molenbeek-Saint-Jean, Saint-Josse-ten-Noode, Saint-Gilles, Forest, Schaerbeek. Less exposed: Woluwe-Saint-Pierre, Watermael-Boitsfort. The municipal BIM gradient (from 9% in Woluwe-Saint-Pierre to 48% in Molenbeek according to INAMI/AIM data, see BIM dossier) is a reliable indicator of CPAS pressure, without being the pressure itself, which also depends on the local civil society fabric and the budgetary margins of the municipality. Several Brussels CPASs, including Schaerbeek, introduced dedicated weekly sessions for unemployment exclusion cases as early as winter 2025-2026, to absorb the influx and explain the new legal framework to persons transferring from ONEM.
This dossier remains regional for now. A phase 2 plans to enrich each of the 19 municipality cards with a quantified CPAS block (budget, RIS, offices, president), once this regional dossier is published.
Private detectives against social fraud: federal measure announced (July 2026)
On 3 July 2026, the federal Council of Ministers approved, in first reading, a draft bill authorising CPAS to use private detectives to investigate suspected social fraud, notably undeclared real estate abroad, undeclared cohabitation, and contradictory income declarations. The measure is carried by federal Minister for Social Integration Anneleen Van Bossuyt (N-VA). This is an early-stage text: a Council of State opinion and a second reading are still to follow — it is neither a voted law nor an ordinance in force.
Announced modalities: private investigators would only be able to consult targeted official sources (local registries, land registries, official certificates), triggered by "serious indications"; the CPAS retains the final decision, and the person concerned retains the right to be heard and to appeal. Any CPAS choosing to use this would have to fund the investigation itself, with no dedicated federal financing — a contested point.
Brussels reaction: a Brussels and Walloon CPAS federation called the objective "legitimate" but rejected the use of private detectives, citing professional confidentiality, GDPR, and a disproportionate, non-recoverable cost; it proposes instead better access to SPF Finance databases. The president of Evere's CPAS, Sébastien Lepoivre, expressed scepticism: private detectives are not sworn officers, and funding should in his view be federal, not municipal.
Sources: RTBF (5 July 2026); La Libre (5 July 2026); La Libre (6 July 2026); BX1 (5 July 2026). Confidence: official (approved in first reading, federal level); unconfirmed (exact name of the Brussels federation quoted by La Libre, subsequent legislative timeline).
What we are monitoring
Five questions structure BGM monitoring: Council of State decision on PAS, adequacy of 2027-2029 unemployment compensation, Constitutional Court ruling on the merits, recruitments fulfilled, political response to Brulocalis's 1.7 billion.
Five questions structure BGM monitoring. They will be updated continuously via daily monitoring and flagged in weekly digests.
- Council of State proceedings on the PAS subsidyongoing
Annulment application filed at end of 2025 by several Brussels CPASs; still pending
15 December 2025
- Disbursement of the 26 M€ federal 2025 payment to CPASsto monitor
Disbursed on 21/01/2026 (royal decree of 18/01/2026; published in the Belgian Official Gazette on 26/01/2026; communication '26M/reference number')
21 January 2026
- Constitutional Court proceedings on the unemployment reform (two fronts)ongoing
Ruling no. 11/2026 of 15/01/2026: suspension rejected. Annulment proceedings still pending on the side of 4 CPASs (Saint-Gilles, Forest, Mons, Andenne) and 14 ASBLs + 4 unincorporated associations + 9 individuals + joint trade union front (CSC, FGTB, CGSLB)
15 January 2026
| Procedure | Latest event | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Council of State proceedings on the PAS subsidy | Annulment application filed at end of 2025 by several Brussels CPASs; still pending 15 December 2025 | ongoing |
| Disbursement of the 26 M€ federal 2025 payment to CPASs | Disbursed on 21/01/2026 (royal decree of 18/01/2026; published in the Belgian Official Gazette on 26/01/2026; communication '26M/reference number') 21 January 2026 | to monitor |
| Constitutional Court proceedings on the unemployment reform (two fronts) | Ruling no. 11/2026 of 15/01/2026: suspension rejected. Annulment proceedings still pending on the side of 4 CPASs (Saint-Gilles, Forest, Mons, Andenne) and 14 ASBLs + 4 unincorporated associations + 9 individuals + joint trade union front (CSC, FGTB, CGSLB) 15 January 2026 | ongoing |
- Council of State decision on the PAS subsidy. Hearing timetable not public at time of drafting. An annulment would require the federal level to reinstate the subsidy in the budget or reclassify it; a rejection would definitively confirm the abolition and permanently shift the burden.
- Unemployment compensation 2027-2029: adequate or not? The gap between 234 M€ and 300 M€ will be resolved within the next 18 months depending on whether the government's return-to-employment assumptions hold or not. The Court of Auditors has already challenged the federal calculation in its 2026 report on the draft budget.
- Constitutional Court ruling on the merits. Ruling 11/2026 of 15 January 2026 rejected the suspension request but does not prejudge the merits. The annulment proceedings remain pending on both sides and no hearing date has been set. A partial or total annulment remains possible.
- Recruitments fulfilled. The announced plan (2,000 national posts, 550 in Brussels including 306 social workers and 245 administrative staff according to Brulocalis) will be met if training and working conditions follow. Otherwise, absorption will remain theoretical.
- Political response to the 1.7 billion requested by Brulocalis and the Conference of Mayors. Compensation covering only 26.7% of the documented need is not structurally sustainable; the Region and the federal level will need to take a position. To monitor in particular the fate of Housing First and MIRIAM, whose uncertainties Brulocalis has flagged.
A residual question remains open on the monitor's side: the exact content of the Brulocalis October 2025 ultimatum could not be verified at source (anti-bot blocking). It remains to be clarified whether a distinct Cocom grant (beyond the 26 M€ federal 2025 payment, which has since been disbursed) was part of the demand. This opening is deliberately left visible: an institutional dossier with high stakes lives better with its uncertainties flagged than with assertions that cannot be sourced.
External signal: population without a safety net, 2026 titre-services alert. The titre-services (service voucher) workers in the social insertion economy (approximately 735 jobs at risk in Brussels by 1 January 2027 according to FeBISP, 347 according to the Hublet cabinet) have a demographic profile that is predominantly non-European, 95% female, often without access to unemployment benefits and without the conditions met for CPAS social assistance. In the event of redundancy, this population would have no automatic safety net: a use case to monitor for the 19 Brussels CPASs. Details in the Titre-services and social economy dossier.